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FutureCoast Shorelines for High Emissions Scenario SLR

Anticipated positions of Mean High Water Springs per decade, based on a High Emissions Scenario sea level rise projection (RCP8.5, 95thpercentile) and 'do nothing' coastal management approach. Shoreline retreat is limited by underlying physical susceptibility model (the UPSM of Fitton et al., 2017) and up to 25m of erosion is premitted at known artificial coastal defences. Further explanation available within Technical Summary WS2, via www.DynamicCoast.com/reports.

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Identification info

Metadata Language
English
Character set
UTF8
Dataset Reference Date (Creation)
2021-06-01
Dataset Reference Date (Publication)
2021-07-15
Identifier
DC2-HES-MHWS-FUT
Point of contact
  NatureScot - Geographic Information Group ( Data Supply )
Presentation form
Digital map
Purpose

Decadal Mean High Water Spring predictions calculated using a modified Bruun Rule and UKCP18 RCP8.5 95th percentile Sea Level Rise generated as part of the second phase of the Dynamic Coast project.

Credit

Contains Ordnance Survey data © Crown copyright and database right 2021 OS 100017908, Met Office Hadley Centre (2018), © BGS ©Scottish Association for Marine Science (SAMS) ©Scottish Government, © Dynamic Coast, © Historic Environment Scotland, © SNH, © St Andrews Links Trust, © University of Glasgow

Custodian
  NatureScot - Alistair Rennie ( Dynamic Coast Project Manager )
Maintenance and update frequency
As needed

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

  • Natural risk zones

Limitations on Public Access
Other restrictions
Other constraints

Available under an Open Government Licence: http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/

Use constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints

Dynamic Coast analyses cannot be used for property-level assessments.

Spatial representation type
Vector
Topic category
  • Environment
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Temporal reference

Temporal extent
 
Temporal extent
 
 
Code
EPSG:27700
Code
EPSG:4326
Code
EPSG:4258
Code
EPSG:3035

Distribution Information

Data format

Data format
Name Version

ESRI Shapefile

ArcGIS Desktop map package

ArcGIS Pro map package

Geopackage and QGIS project

 

Transfer options

Resource Locator
Protocol Resource Locator Name

OGC:WMS-1.3.0-http-get-map

https://ogc.nature.scot/geoserver/dynamiccoast/wms?request=GetCapabilities&service=WMS

dc2mhwsfuturehigh

WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link

https://opendata.nature.scot/datasets/snh::dynamiccoast-future-mhws-for-high-emissions-scenario/explore

NatureScot OpenData Hub

WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link

https://www.dynamiccoast.com

Dynamic Coast

OGC:WFS-1.0.0-http-get-capabilities

https://ogc.nature.scot/geoserver/dynamiccoast/wfs?request=GetCapabilities&service=WFS

dynamiccoast:dc2mhwsfuturehigh

WWW:DOWNLOAD-1.0-http--download

https://gis-downloads.nature.scot/DYNAMICCOAST2_SCOTLAND_SHP_27700.zip

DynamicCoast database Shapefiles (EPSG:27700)

WWW:DOWNLOAD-1.0-http--download

https://gis-downloads.nature.scot/DYNAMICCOAST2_SCOTLAND_MPK_27700.zip

DynamicCoast database ArcGIS Desktop map package (EPSG:27700)

WWW:DOWNLOAD-1.0-http--download

https://gis-downloads.nature.scot/DYNAMICCOAST2_SCOTLAND_MPKX_27700.zip

DynamicCoast database ArcGIS Pro map package (EPSG:27700)

WWW:DOWNLOAD-1.0-http--download

https://gis-downloads.nature.scot/DYNAMICCOAST2_SCOTLAND_GPKG_27700.zip

DynamicCoast database Geopackage and QGIS project (EPSG:27700)

WWW:LINK-1.0-http--link

https://ogc.nature.scot/geoserver/www/maps/naturescot-data-viewer.html?layer=dynamiccoast:dc2mhwsfuturehigh

NatureScot Map Viewer

 
 

Data quality info

Quality Scope
Dataset
Conformity
Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services
Explanation

Dataset Not Assessed

Degree
false
Statement

Current Mean High Water Spring line (OS MasterMap High Water Mark © OS 2020 100017908) was projected back along soft shore cross-shore transects by a distance calculated using a modified Bruun Rule and high emission pathway of UKCP18 sea level rise projections (RCP8.5 at 95th percentile, https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/a077f4058cda4cd4b37ccfbdf1a6bd29).


Limits to erosion are from the Underlying Physical Susceptibility Model (Fitton et al., 2016; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2016.08.018) and defences data digitised as part of Dynamic Coast phase 2.


Transects and therefore FutureCoast lines were not created along tide dominated (salt marsh and estuaries) shores, rocky (non-erodible) shores. For further information, please visit www.DynamicCoast.com/reports.


Data Sources

o Current Mean High Water Spring line

• © OS 2020 100017908

• PSGA

o UKCP18 sea level rise projections

• Met Office Hadley Centre (2018): UKCP18 Exploratory Extended Time-mean Sea Level Projections around the UK for 2007-2300. Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, 2021. https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/a077f4058cda4cd4b37ccfbdf1a6bd29

• OGL

o Coastal Erosion Susceptibility Model for Scotland ( http://www.dynamiccoast.com/files/reports/NCCA%20-%20Data%20Audit.pdf)

• OS – Terrain50

• OSMM – distance derived from coast – PSGA – Derived data open

• BGS - Superficial Thickness Model – Rockhead Output – not open but derived data ok for NCCA

• SAMS – Wave Exposure Index – Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0

o http://marine.gov.scot/maps/780

o https://www.sams.ac.uk/people/researchers/burrows-professor-michael/ (Wave Fetch Model)

• SG – Coastal Defences – 2004-2014 – PSGA – Derived data open

• OGL

 

Metadata

File identifier
b99ca067-78a8-4ef2-b10b-a73e5d0e0b29 XML
Metadata Language
English
Character set
UTF8
Resource type
Dataset
Hierarchy level name

dataset

Metadata Date
2024-09-18T11:45:24
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version

2.3

Point of contact

Individual name

Geographic Information Group

Organisation name

NatureScot

Position name

Data Supply

Electronic mail address

data_supply@nature.scot supply@nature.sco data_supply@nature.scot

Role
Point of contact
Point of contact
  NatureScot - Geographic Information Group ( Data Supply )
 
 
 

Overviews

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Keywords

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
Natural risk zones

Publishing Body

Access the portal
Full access to the portal and metadata.

Associated resources (if any)

Not available


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